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December 18 - As a number of top property market experts give their
predictions regarding the industry for the new year, Gerhard Kotze of ERA
property group decided to offer his own opinion about what is in store for us.
Kotze believes that the property market will remain generally steady, with no
"speculative/investment element that drove the market to dizzy heights three
years ago." Instead, Kotze thinks that the usual elements will dictate supply
and demand in the market. And while he predicts that nothing drastic will
happen, Kotze does not see the property experiencing any type of revival before
the last part of 2009.
"The numbers tell the story," he explained. "Public sector spending amounting
to R180 billion in 2009 on the likes of roads, rail facilities and ports that
will prime the economic pumps. And World Cup spending is only 5% of this and the
Gautrain 2%, so there's unlikely to be a post 2010 hangover, suggesting that the
property market will continue a steady climb out of the doldrums over the coming
years."
Kotze compared the South African economy to other developing countries and
showed that in relation to the rest of the globe, South Africa was in a better
position than most. "In nearly all other measures, the country has performed
well in recent years and notwithstanding much political posturing, the lives of
millions of South Africans have improved by virtue of 2.6 million houses built
and with water, sanitation, electricity delivery all very much improved, boding
well for social stability."
Kotze pointed out existing problems, including growing crime rates, and
corruption but he believes in the grand scheme of things, the property market
will steadily improve over the course of next year.
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